Track record

Accuracy Transparency

Every settled prediction is shown below — including from our retired model. We do not filter sports out of the headline, and we do not delete records.

Sample sizes are still small. Read the per-sport tables before drawing conclusions.

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Why Transparency Matters

Build Trust

You deserve to know exactly how accurate our predictions are before making any decisions.

Continuous Improvement

Public tracking holds us accountable and drives us to constantly improve our models.

Industry Leadership

We set the standard for transparency in sports prediction platforms.

Our Methodology

Understanding how we calculate and track accuracy

1. Prediction Recording

Every prediction is automatically recorded when made, including:

  • Predicted winner
  • Win probabilities for each team
  • Confidence level
  • Timestamp of prediction
  • All prediction factors and reasoning

2. Result Verification

After games complete, we automatically:

  • Fetch official final scores from ESPN API
  • Match predictions with actual outcomes
  • Mark each prediction as correct or incorrect
  • Calculate accuracy metrics in real-time

3. Accuracy Calculation

Our accuracy formula is simple and transparent:

Accuracy = (Correct Predictions / Total Completed Games) × 100%

We track accuracy across multiple dimensions: by sport, by confidence level, and by timeframe.

How to read these numbers

Context for the win-rate figures shown above

  • Random guessing on a moneyline coin flip yields ~50%.
  • To beat a -110 sportsbook line over time, a moneyline picker needs roughly 52.4% accuracy after vig.
  • Professional sports bettors typically operate in the 53-57% range.
  • Models claiming sustained 70%+ accuracy across all sports and seasons are usually selecting their sample after the fact.

Sports outcomes depend on injuries, weather, officiating, and human variance that no model can fully predict. We do not promise a specific accuracy number on this page — the numbers above are what they are.

NBA Model Health Monitor

Real-time system performance • Updated 10:19 PM

Model Accuracy
75.3%
Daily updated
Avg Confidence
9.8%
Avg margin
Last Retrain
228 days ago
Auto-retrains daily
Health Status
🟢 Healthy
No drift detected
128 predictions today
System Online
Dynamic Ensemble
LSTM/Transformer
Drift Monitoring
Bias Testing

Live Accuracy By Sport

Real-time prediction accuracy across all supported sports

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See Our Predictions in Action

Now that you understand our commitment to transparency, check out our live predictions and see the accuracy tracking in real-time.

Real-time tracking updates automatically as predictions are made and games complete.

All accuracy data is updated in real-time and verified against official game results from ESPN.

Last updated: Jun 18, 6:19 PM EDT