Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-25. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Baltimore Orioles | 72.8% | 27.2% | Details |
| Minnesota Twins | Chicago White Sox | 75% | 25% | Details |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers | 25% | 75% | Details |
| New York Yankees | Kansas City Royals | 71.5% | 28.5% | Details |
| Cincinnati Reds | New York Mets | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | San Francisco Giants | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Washington Nationals | Cleveland Guardians | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Philadelphia Phillies | San Diego Padres | 72.8% | 27.2% | Details |
| Houston Astros | Texas Rangers | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Miami Marlins | Toronto Blue Jays | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | 28.4% | 71.6% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | Vegas Golden Knights | 57% | 43% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.