Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-22. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | Los Angeles Angels | 73.3% | 26.7% | Details |
| Colorado Rockies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Houston Astros | Chicago Cubs | 69.1% | 30.9% | Details |
| Cleveland Guardians | Philadelphia Phillies | 72.8% | 27.2% | Details |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Cincinnati Reds | 27.5% | 72.5% | Details |
| Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Toronto Blue Jays | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 75% | 25% | Details |
| New York Mets | Miami Marlins | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Detroit Tigers | Baltimore Orioles | 74.6% | 25.4% | Details |
| Washington Nationals | Atlanta Braves | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Milwaukee Brewers | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Seattle Mariners | Kansas City Royals | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers | New York Knicks | 51.3% | 48.7% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | Carolina Hurricanes | 48.9% | 51.1% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | New York Liberty | 58.4% | 41.6% | Details |
| Toronto Tempo | Minnesota Lynx | 20.3% | 79.7% | Details |
| Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | 56.6% | 43.4% | Details |
| Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | 51.4% | 48.6% | Details |
| Golden State Valkyries | Indiana Fever | 53.4% | 46.6% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.