Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-18. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Baltimore Orioles | Tampa Bay Rays | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Cincinnati Reds | Philadelphia Phillies | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | 68.7% | 31.3% | Details |
| New York Mets | Washington Nationals | 72.6% | 27.4% | Details |
| Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Boston Red Sox | Kansas City Royals | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Houston Astros | Minnesota Twins | 69.2% | 30.8% | Details |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs | 74% | 26% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | 28.5% | 71.5% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | Buffalo Sabres | 50.6% | 49.4% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.