Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-17. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Angels | 25% | 75% | Details |
| San Francisco Giants | Athletics | 71.5% | 28.5% | Details |
| Miami Marlins | Tampa Bay Rays | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Baltimore Orioles | Washington Nationals | 72.5% | 27.5% | Details |
| Boston Red Sox | Atlanta Braves | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates | 72.5% | 27.5% | Details |
| Cincinnati Reds | Cleveland Guardians | 25% | 75% | Details |
| New York Yankees | New York Mets | 72.8% | 27.2% | Details |
| Toronto Blue Jays | Detroit Tigers | 70.8% | 29.2% | Details |
| Chicago Cubs | Chicago White Sox | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Minnesota Twins | 73.1% | 26.9% | Details |
| Texas Rangers | Houston Astros | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Kansas City Royals | St. Louis Cardinals | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Colorado Rockies | 71.6% | 28.4% | Details |
| San Francisco Giants | Athletics | 71.5% | 28.5% | Details |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Angels | 25% | 75% | Details |
| San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Sabres | Montreal Canadiens | 55.6% | 44.4% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | Manchester United | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Crystal Palace | Brentford | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Sunderland | Everton | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Fulham | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| West Ham United | Newcastle United | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | 53.4% | 46.6% | Details |
| Seattle Storm | Indiana Fever | 27.3% | 72.7% | Details |
| Chicago Sky | Minnesota Lynx | 56.5% | 43.5% | Details |
| Toronto Tempo | Los Angeles Sparks | 66.7% | 33.3% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.