Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-15. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates | 72.5% | 27.5% | Details |
| Toronto Blue Jays | Detroit Tigers | 70.8% | 29.2% | Details |
| Baltimore Orioles | Washington Nationals | 72.5% | 27.5% | Details |
| Cincinnati Reds | Cleveland Guardians | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Miami Marlins | Tampa Bay Rays | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Minnesota Twins | 73.1% | 26.9% | Details |
| Boston Red Sox | Atlanta Braves | 25% | 75% | Details |
| New York Yankees | New York Mets | 72.8% | 27.2% | Details |
| Chicago Cubs | Chicago White Sox | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | 74.4% | 25.6% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | Anaheim Ducks | 51.7% | 48.3% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Aston Villa | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | 52.1% | 47.9% | Details |
| New York Liberty | Portland Fire | 52% | 48% | Details |
| Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | 15% | 85% | Details |
| Washington Mystics | Indiana Fever | 49.1% | 50.9% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.