Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-08. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | San Diego Padres | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Houston Astros | Cincinnati Reds | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Colorado Rockies | Philadelphia Phillies | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Athletics | Baltimore Orioles | 72.1% | 27.9% | Details |
| Los Angeles Angels | Toronto Blue Jays | 74.9% | 25.1% | Details |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Boston Red Sox | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Washington Nationals | Miami Marlins | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Minnesota Twins | Cleveland Guardians | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Detroit Tigers | Kansas City Royals | 73.8% | 26.2% | Details |
| New York Yankees | Milwaukee Brewers | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Seattle Mariners | Chicago White Sox | 30.4% | 69.6% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | 63.9% | 36.1% | Details |
| New York Knicks | Philadelphia 76ers | 43.5% | 56.5% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | Philadelphia Flyers | 51.5% | 48.5% | Details |
| Montreal Canadiens | Buffalo Sabres | 58.6% | 41.4% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut Sun | New York Liberty | 56.4% | 43.6% | Details |
| Washington Mystics | Toronto Tempo | 55.5% | 44.5% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.