Win-probability projections for every game on 2026-05-02. Each is recorded before the game and graded against the result.
Experimental models — full record on our accuracy & transparency page.
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 73.6% | 26.4% | Details |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals | 36.9% | 63.1% | Details |
| Atlanta Braves | Colorado Rockies | 70% | 30% | Details |
| New York Mets | Los Angeles Angels | 72% | 28% | Details |
| Chicago White Sox | San Diego Padres | 67.9% | 32.1% | Details |
| Cleveland Guardians | Athletics | 69.7% | 30.3% | Details |
| Kansas City Royals | Seattle Mariners | 71.7% | 28.3% | Details |
| Baltimore Orioles | New York Yankees | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 73.6% | 26.4% | Details |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Chicago Cubs | 74.6% | 25.4% | Details |
| Cincinnati Reds | Pittsburgh Pirates | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals | 73.5% | 26.5% | Details |
| Cleveland Guardians | Athletics | 69.7% | 30.3% | Details |
| Houston Astros | Boston Red Sox | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Philadelphia Phillies | Miami Marlins | 75% | 25% | Details |
| San Francisco Giants | Tampa Bay Rays | 75% | 25% | Details |
| Texas Rangers | Detroit Tigers | 25% | 75% | Details |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals | 36.9% | 63.1% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | 45.8% | 54.2% | Details |
| Philadelphia 76ers | Boston Celtics | 74.4% | 25.6% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights | Utah Mammoth | 49.2% | 50.8% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham United | Brentford | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Newcastle United | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Sunderland | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Fulham | Arsenal | 48.3% | 51.7% | Details |
| Away | Home | Home win prob | Away win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Tempo | Minnesota Lynx | 52.2% | 47.8% | Details |
| Nigeria | Indiana Fever | 53.1% | 46.9% | Details |
For information and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice.